Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#295
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#293
Pace72.9#101
Improvement+1.1#136

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#291
First Shot-6.5#319
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#57
Layup/Dunks-6.3#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#219
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+2.1#82

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#281
First Shot-4.1#294
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#179
Layups/Dunks-5.2#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#42
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#104
Freethrows-2.4#320
Improvement-1.0#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 61   @ Virginia Tech W 85-82 4%     1 - 0 +14.8 +12.1 +2.5
  Nov 16, 2015 117   @ UAB L 70-72 9%     1 - 1 +4.1 -5.5 +9.7
  Nov 19, 2015 190   @ Mercer L 49-70 18%     1 - 2 -19.9 -19.2 -3.1
  Nov 27, 2015 106   Chattanooga L 58-95 11%     1 - 3 -32.4 -12.5 -19.3
  Nov 28, 2015 348   Chicago St. W 66-64 76%     2 - 3 -14.2 -18.6 +4.2
  Dec 01, 2015 78   @ Evansville L 56-88 5%     2 - 4 -22.1 -12.1 -9.1
  Dec 13, 2015 293   @ Jacksonville St. W 63-60 38%     3 - 4 -2.8 -14.1 +11.2
  Dec 16, 2015 156   @ Elon L 74-91 13%     3 - 5 -13.6 -3.5 -8.8
  Dec 20, 2015 166   @ Coastal Carolina L 65-68 15%     3 - 6 -0.5 -6.2 +5.7
  Dec 22, 2015 154   @ Winthrop L 84-92 12%     3 - 7 -4.3 -2.8 -0.2
  Jan 02, 2016 261   @ Jackson St. L 61-68 29%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -10.3 -9.7 -0.5
  Jan 04, 2016 346   @ Grambling St. L 81-84 OT 63%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -15.3 -1.0 -14.1
  Jan 09, 2016 341   Mississippi Valley W 75-74 OT 79%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -16.3 -14.9 -1.6
  Jan 11, 2016 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 55-59 80%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -21.8 -19.9 -2.1
  Jan 16, 2016 315   Alabama A&M L 75-80 OT 67%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -18.3 -13.4 -4.3
  Jan 23, 2016 242   @ Southern L 69-73 25%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -5.8 -8.6 +3.1
  Jan 25, 2016 313   @ Alcorn St. L 72-77 44%     4 - 13 1 - 6 -12.3 -0.7 -11.8
  Jan 30, 2016 186   Texas Southern L 72-75 33%     4 - 14 1 - 7 -7.4 -7.1 -0.2
  Feb 01, 2016 335   Prairie View W 83-77 76%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -10.3 +8.0 -18.2
  Feb 06, 2016 341   @ Mississippi Valley W 73-62 60%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -0.5 -2.5 +2.1
  Feb 08, 2016 344   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 70-75 OT 62%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -17.0 -1.9 -15.3
  Feb 13, 2016 315   @ Alabama A&M W 74-68 44%     7 - 15 4 - 8 -1.4 +4.5 -5.2
  Feb 20, 2016 242   Southern W 77-68 45%     8 - 15 5 - 8 +1.3 -2.4 +3.2
  Feb 22, 2016 313   Alcorn St. W 73-60 66%     9 - 15 6 - 8 -0.1 -7.0 +6.7
  Feb 27, 2016 335   @ Prairie View W 73-68 56%     10 - 15 7 - 8 -5.4 -2.1 -3.4
  Feb 29, 2016 186   @ Texas Southern L 86-96 17%     10 - 16 7 - 9 -8.6 +4.9 -12.6
  Mar 03, 2016 261   Jackson St. W 71-54 51%     11 - 16 8 - 9 +7.9 -3.1 +10.6
  Mar 05, 2016 346   Grambling St. W 59-58 81%     12 - 16 9 - 9 -17.2 -13.6 -3.5
  Mar 10, 2016 242   Southern L 63-83 35%     12 - 17 -24.7 -14.8 -8.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%